Everyone’s Buying SPCX. Here’s What Smart Investors Actually Do.
SpaceX (SPCX) just completed the largest IPO in history — $75 billion raised, debuting up 19% on day one, now trading over 40% above its IPO price. The hype is real. So are the risks most people aren’t talking about.
CFP® David Chudyk breaks down the bull case, the bear case, what happened when WeWork, Peloton, and Rivian met peak hype, and — most importantly — the only question that determines whether any hot stock belongs in your financial picture.
What You’ll Learn
The real bull case for SpaceX — Starlink’s $15.5B revenue run-rate, 50%+ growth, cash-flow positive before IPO
The bear case: xAI’s $6.35B operating loss, Starship delays, valuation that prices in perfection
IPO Hall of Shame: WeWork ($47B → bankruptcy), Peloton (down 90% from peak), Rivian (down 80%+)
The one question that determines if any position belongs in your plan
How to use the three-bucket framework (Liquidity, Longevity, Legacy) to size any single position
5 specific SpaceX risks buried in the S-1 most retail investors never read
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